Pricing & sales · LTV:CAC

Lifetime value to CAC

How much gross profit a customer produces over their life, compared with what it cost to win them.

(average_gross_profit_per_year × expected_years) ÷ cac Unit ratio Usual grain cohort × segment

01 What it is

Why anyone looks at this number

In one sentence

How much gross profit a customer produces over their life, compared with what it cost to win them.

It is the single test of whether growth is worth funding. Below about 1, every new customer destroys value; well above 3, you are probably under-investing in growth.

02 The formula

How it is worked out

ltv-to-cacdefinition
Lifetime value to CAC = (average_gross_profit_per_year × expected_years) ÷ cac

grain  : cohort × segment
unit   : ratio
source : CRM and billing, joined to the acquisition cost model

Use gross profit, not revenue, or you will count the cost of serving the customer as value. Cap the expected life at something defensible — infinite-life assumptions produce infinite ratios.

03 Worked example

The same number, with real inputs

Inputs
Gross profit per customer per year€18,000
Expected life5 years
CAC€30,000
Calculation(18,000 × 5) ÷ 30,000
Result3.0

Three euros of gross profit for every euro spent winning the customer. Healthy — and if retention slipped to a three-year life, it would fall to 1.8.

04 What moves it

Four things that actually change this number

Driver 01

Retention

The largest lever by far: a small change in churn changes life dramatically.

Driver 02

Gross margin

What each year is actually worth after the cost of serving.

Driver 03

Expansion

Growth within existing accounts extends value without extra acquisition cost.

Driver 04

CAC

The denominator, and the one most often measured too narrowly.

05 Where the number lives

The system, the record and the fields

System of recordKey recordFields you need
CRM and billing, joined to the acquisition cost modelCustomer cohort recurring_revenue, gross_margin, churn_rate, acquisition_cost

Use gross profit, not revenue, or you will count the cost of serving the customer as value. Cap the expected life at something defensible — infinite-life assumptions produce infinite ratios.

06 How it goes wrong

Three ways this metric misleads people

Mistake

Using revenue instead of gross profit

It inflates the ratio by whatever the cost to serve happens to be.

Fix: Always use gross profit, after support and delivery cost.
Mistake

Optimistic lifetimes

Assuming ten years for a product that has existed for three is not evidence.

Fix: Derive expected life from observed cohort retention, and cap it.
Mistake

One ratio for the whole business

Enterprise and self-serve segments have completely different economics.

Fix: Calculate by cohort and segment.

08 Questions

Frequently asked

Is a higher LTV:CAC always better?

Not necessarily. A very high ratio often means you are not spending enough to grow. It is a balance test, not a score to maximise.

How do I estimate expected life?

From observed retention curves by cohort, not from a target. If your oldest cohort is three years old, do not model a ten-year life.

One definition, everywhere it is used

SCIKIQ stores this metric once and serves it to every dashboard, board pack and agent that asks.

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